Last week was an abysmal one for me. Granted, who saw the second half collapse from the Colts and the beating the 49ers put on the Buccaneers coming? Overall I went 5-7 so this is my shot at redemption.
All lines are courtesy of FootballLocks.com.
Last Weeks Record: 5-7
Season Record: 37-23
Sunday, Oct. 16 games: (Home team in ALL CAPS and winner in bold)
GREEN BAY -14 St. Louis
- Part of me feels bad for Sam Bradford here. Every week he gets battered around, and this week will be no different. On the other side of the ball Aaron Rodgers will have no problems picking apart this depleted secondary. I see Matt Flynn finishing this blowout.
PITTSBURGH -12 Jacksonville
- After finally benching Ben Roethlisberger in fantasy and picking against the Steelers in my column, I was proved quite incompetent. So this week I’m jumping back on Pittsburgh’s bandwagon as they harass young Blaine Gabbert all day long while putting on quite the offensive showcase of their own.
Philadelphia -2.5 WASHINGTON
- I have a hard time understanding why the 1-4 Eagles, with their lone win over the Rams, are the favorites on the road against the NFC East leading Redskins. Granted this is often a game Washington loses, but if they can pound the running game against the weak Philly defense and keep Rex Grossman from having to do too much, the Redskins should come out a winner.
DETROIT -4 San Francisco
- Last week the 49ers continued to shock me as they absolutely dismantled the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Can they do it again this week against the undefeated Lions? Part of me wants to take the pick, but I think Matt Stafford is much better than Josh Freeman and the Detroit pass rush should be able to bring out the real Alex Smith.
ATLANTA -4 Carolina
- The Falcons are one of the most disappointing teams this season. Last week was a game I didn’t think they would win, even at their best, but I still expect better from them. Here is their chance to get a good win at home against the tricky Panthers and Cam Newton, who had victory snatched out of their grasp by Drew Brees last week. Newton will have another great game, but will fall short yet again.
CINCINNATI -7 Indianapolis
- If the Colts couldn’t win after being up big at home against the hapless Chiefs, I don’t think they can do much against the upstart Bengals. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green have been quite the combo this year, and are already making Mike Brown look like a genius for letting Carson Palmer hold out and trading Chad Ochocinco. Surprisingly I think they Bengals will do more than just cover the spread this week.
NEW YORK GIANTS -3 Buffalo
- After losing to the combo of Tarvaris Jackson/Charlie Whitehurst last week in Seattle I don’t see how the Giants can beat the mighty Bills. Buffalo’s defense of retreads (Nick Barnett, Shawne Merriman) have rallied around one another to jump out to a 4-1 record and another win this week should keep them ahead of the Patriots in the AFC East.
BALTIMORE -8 Houston
- Even if Andre Johnson was healthy I would have a hard time picking the Texans over the Ravens. To this point, minus a game against the Titans, the Ravens have looked virtually unstoppable. Their defense should be able to contain Arian Foster, and their offense will be quite happy without Mario Williams on the other side of the ball.
OAKLAND -6.5 Cleveland
- The story about Peyton Hills sitting out a game earlier this season against the Dolphins was fairly shocking from what seemed like the consumate professional. That is something the Browns can’t have in their already tenuous situation, and I think it will hurt them on the field. On the other sideline, the Raiders rallied around one another last week and beat the Texans only a day after losing their owner. The Raiders will keep their spirits high and win again this week.
NEW ENGLAND -6.5 Dallas
- Rob Ryan called Tom Brady the best quarterback of All-Time which is a bit of an overstatement, but against the Cowboys he may look it this week. Another loss will be a serious blow to the Cowboys season, but not a knockout punch. Patriots will win, but it will be closer than most people expect.
New Orleans -4.5 TAMPA BAY
- The Buccaneers were supposed to take a huge step forward this season, but streaky play has really hurt them so far. Now, it looks like LeGarrette Blount will be out 4-6 weeks only further hurting their chances. Drew Brees will continue his success this season, allowing the Saints to win big.
CHICAGO -3 Minnesota
- I’ll bet NBC wishes they could do some flex scheduling this week. Chicago has been pure vanilla this year without a passing game or outstanding defense. On the plus side Matt Forte has been electric, but so has Adrian Peterson. In a slugfest of running games and turnover margins, the Vikings eke out a victory on the road.
Monday Oct. 17:
NEW YORK JETS -7 Miami
- The Jets locker room seems to be imploding. That, on top of a 2-3 record spells trouble for Rex Ryan’s crew. A visit from the Dolphins should be just the cure, but if Miami somehow pulls off the upset then Jets may be on the outside of the playoffs looking in come the end of the season. In what shouldn’t be a close game, the Jets seal it with a late touchdown to pull their record to .500.