This is quite a boring weekend of football. Outside of the NFC East showdown between the Eagles-Dallas and the Patriots-Steelers game, there aren’t very many competitive games.
Last week I caught some flack over my selection abilities, but I maintain my picks are good. Better in fact than certain professional analysts like Chris Mortensen.
So, without further adieu, here are my picks for this week.
All lines are courtesy of FootballLocks.com.
Last Weeks Record: 8-5
Season Record: 53-33 (.616)
Sunday, Oct. 30 games: (Home team in ALL CAPS and winner in bold)
TENNESSEE -8.5 Indianapolis
- I feel kind of bad for the Colts. Seeing the Saints hang 62 on them was such an incredible fall from grace. Now being a Redskins fan it’s hard to feel too bad considering all the success they have had in the Peyton Manning era, but it is still sad to see. This disaster of a season should continue with a visit to Nashville. Chris Johnson has been pedestrian this year, but given the right circumstance (Colts defense) he should go off in an easy win for the Titans.
HOUSTON -9.5 Jacksonville
- It was impressive seeing the Texans perform at such a high level without Andre Johnson, especially against a challenging divisional foe. This week should theoretically be an easier game, but after the defensive showing the Jaguars had last week, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Arian Foster get bottled up. This won’t be the blowout the Texans enjoyed against the Titans, but either way it will result in a win.
CAROLINA -3 Minnesota
- Cam Newton looked like a complete quarterback last week against the Redskins in getting the second win of his young career. Christian Ponder on the other hand looked lost during most of the Vikings game against the Packers, yet he still almost won. I’d like to think Ponder could get the first win of his career, but going on the road against the surprisingly good Panthers won’t bode well. Panthers win in a high scoring affair.
New Orleans -13.5 ST. LOUIS
- My biggest question in this game is whether the Saints will be able to score more this week than last. A.J. Feely is starting again for the Rams which will not bode well for the offense. And Drew Brees is still a Saint which will not bode well for the defense. Make sure you take the over on the 13.5 point spread.
BALTIMORE -12 Arizona
- I don’t get this Ravens squad. One week they dominate and the next they look terrible. After getting manhandled by the Titans they hammered an NFC West foe the very next week. Now after losing to another AFC South team, they face another NFC West squad. Will the result be the same? I think Ray Lewis & Co. will come out hard, stifling the Cardinals and further making Arizona fans wonder why they traded so much for Kevin Kolb.
NEW YORK GIANTS -9.5 Miami
- Somehow the Dolphins choked away a 15-point lead in the fourth quarter against the Broncos to continue this seasons misery. The Tony Sparano watch has to be on in full force, because at 0-6 I don’t see Miami sticking with him too much longer. On the other sideline the Giants are coing off a bye, and although teams are 3-9 after the bye this season, New York should breeze through for a win.
BUFFALO -4.5 Washington
- This will mark the first time all season I pick against the Redskins. While the Bills aren’t truly at home (game’s in Toronto), they still have a potent offense and quarterback who just got paid. This could be a high scoring affair if Ryan Torain is able to seize on one of the worst run defenses in the league, especially without Shawne Merriman. Bills squeeze by with a fantasy football owner’s dream of a game.
Detroit -3 DENVER
- Detroit is bleeding and need to make sure they stop it before things go like 2007. If Matt Stafford is healthy this won’t even be close, but if Shaun Hill is under center it will be tight. Either way, unless Tim Tebow can shoulder more than usual, the Broncos will walk away a loser.
New England -2.5 PITTSBURGH
- After the beating the Steelers took in Week 1 it seemed like they were in for a long season. Now they have the second best pass defense in the league and have an offense that is finally clicking. Tom Brady is a tough opponent anytime, and this will be no exception. But the Steelers are a more complete team, even without James Harrison, and will upset the Patriots at home on Sunday.
SAN FRANCISCO -8.5 Cleveland
- I really can’t believe the 49ers are 5-1, and would love to pick against them here. But sadly, the Browns are just terrible so I can’t. Alex Smith will keep his inexplicable run of a season together and move San Francisco to the brink of a playoff berth in the cesspool that is the NFC West.
Cincinnati -2 SEATTLE
- I know the Seahawks boast the 12th man, but I don’t see how they can only be two-point underdogs against the upstart Bengals. Tarvaris Jackson will be back and cause at least two turnovers allowing Andy ‘The Red Rifle’ Dalton to keep the Bengals in the hunt for the AFC North.
PHILADELPHIA -3 Dallas
- This WILL be the week the Eagles ‘Dream Team’ of a defense comes together. All year their secondary has been hit hard, but against the formidable offense of the Cowboys they will finally put it all together. Tony Romo will look downright bad in the loss, but DeMarco Murray will further validate the Cowboys cutting Tashard Choice.
Monday, Oct. 24:
San Diego -3 KANSAS CITY
- Looking back, who would have thought that the Chiefs would be tied for first in the AFC West with a win this week? Certainly not me. Already Kansas City has played the Chargers close this year, but this time around Phillip Rivers will have his full array of offensive weapons. The Chargers will look slow out of the gate, but should pull away in the fourth quarter moving to 5-2 on the season.