All lines are courtesy of FootballLocks.com.
Last Weeks Record: 8-6
Season Record: 71-42 (.628)
Thursday, Nov. 10 game: (Home team in ALL CAPS and winner in bold)
SAN DIEGO -7 Oakland
- Somehow the Chargers almost won last week despite Phillip Rivers’ pathetic first half and Aaron Rodgers’ amazing one. I’d like to pick the Raiders here if Carson Palmer wasn’t coming off consecutive three interception performances. Eventually he’ll get it together, maybe even this week, but for now the Chargers will win keeping them in the AFC West race.
Sunday, Nov. 13 games:
Pittsburgh -3 CINCINNATI
- How crazy is it that the Bengals are on top of the AFC right now? Granted they haven’t played the Steelers or Ravens yet, but still, this time has been a fun surprise. This will be the biggest test of the season so far for young Andy Dalton as he must go against one of the toughest defenses in the league. On the other side, Pittsburgh must recover after losing a heartbreaker against Baltimore for the season sweep. A loss here puts them further back in the division than they would like. I think Mike Tomlin and Co. recognize this and bring a little something extra to come away with a close win.
KANSAS CITY -3 Denver
- These two teams look like their headed in opposite directions after last week’s games. First Kansas City got absolutely demolished by the previously winless Dolphins and then the Broncos came from behind and got a big win over what was thought to be the superior Raiders. Tim Tebow has been somewhat of an enigma this season and I never know what to expect out of him. Somehow he will pull out another head-scratching victory this Sunday.
Jacksonville -3 INDIANAPOLIS
- This will be a dreadful game to watch. The Jaguars offense has looked listless most of this season and only remains competitive in games due to their suffocating defense while the Colts just look downright bad on both sides of the ball. Won’t matter if Dan Orlovsky or Curtis Painter start, Blaine Gabbert will get his second career win in a low scoring affair.
DALLAS -5.5 Buffalo
- After overachieving most of the season the Bills had a wake-up call delivered by the Jets defense. To remain in the hunt for the AFC East title or even a Wild Card, Buffalo can’t afford another loss to a beatable team. Fred Jackson will have a huge game (nothing to do with his unique homecoming) and Ryan Fitzpatrick will connect with Stevie Johnson to stun the Cowboys at home.
Houston -3 TAMPA BAY
- Gary Kubiak must be high on life right now. As winners of two straight with a perfect division record, the Texans seem destined for their first playoff berth ever. What’s even more impressive is that Houston’s offense has kept pace without Andre Johnson in the lineup. In Tampa, things seem much worse as the Buccaneers sport a two-game losing streak and -49 point differential on the season. Turnovers have doomed Tampa all year and Sunday will be no different as the Texans seize on the opportunities and run the ball down the throat of Raheem Morris’ defense.
CAROLINA -3.5 Tennessee
- Early on this season it seemed like Matt Hasselbeck had found a great new home, but since Kenny Britt’s season ending injury and Chris Johnson’s consistent inability to produce, he must be looking over his shoulder and seeing Jake Locker lurking. A loss this week to the Panthers might make the Titans’ brass jump the gun on Locker after they see Cam Newton torch their defense for what could be the easiest win of his young career.
MIAMI -4 Washington
- Sad times in Washington as the Redskins head to the 1-7 Dolphins as four-point underdogs. John Beck and the ‘Skins offense looked pathetic last week against the 49ers, and while the Dolphins offer a much easier time, I don’t see Beck seizing the opportunity. Instead Matt Moore and Reggie Bush will team up again to put up surprisingly good numbers in a two-score win.
ATLANTA even New Orleans
- If Matt Ryan can keep up his newfound chemistry with Julio Jones then the Falcons can torture the Saints secondary all day for a high scoring win. If instead Ryan plays like he did the first quarter of the season then Drew Brees will have an easy day of scoring early and coasting late. I think the better Matty Ice shows up and leads the Falcons into a tie for the NFC South.
CHICAGO -3 Detroit
- After starting off to what seemed like an assured playoff berth, the Lions have stumbled a bit and suddenly see the Chicago Bears right behind them. A win for Jay Cutler this weeks vaults his squad into a tie for second in the NFC North, while a loss will all but cripple their hopes of catching Detroit. Matt Forte will run wild yet again, but Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson will be too much as the Lions win late in the game.
CLEVELAND -2.5 St. Louis
- Sam Bradford is having quite the sophomore slump. Part of it is the beating he takes each week behind his pathetic offense line, but he also doesn’t seem to be reading the field right anymore. His former Big XII rival hasn’t been statistically much better, but Colt McCoy still has three wins for an arguably worse team. This game is really a toss-up, but for some reason I think Steve Spagnuolo will fire up his squad and come away a winner in a defensive struggle that will make most casual fans change the channel.
PHILADELPHIA -13.5 Arizona
- Right when the Eagles finally looked like they had righted the ship, the Chicago Bears came along and burst their bubble. At 3-5, tied for last in the NFC East, the Eagles have a lot of ground to make up if they want to even think about the playoffs. Fortunately the Arizona Cardinals are coming to town, and although they had an interesting win last week, the Eagles won’t ever allow it to be that close.
Baltimore -6.5 SEATTLE
- Joe Flacco has been quite the clutch quarterback this season. After engineering an amazing come-from-behind win against the Steelers last week, the Ravens must ensure they do not overlook the Seahawks. But really, even if they suffer the pitfall of what could be a trap game, it won’t be against Seattle due to the Jackson/Whitehurst combo.
SAN FRANCISCO -3.5 New York Giants
- Two number-one overall picks will be facing off in this match-up. And while the careers of Alex Smith and Eli Manning have taken vastly different paths, both lead very good teams into this match-up. This will be a game that old school fans of smashmouth football will love. If Hakeem Nicks and Ahmad Bradshaw were 100% then the Giants would have a good chance, but without them the 49ers will move to 8-1 all but locking up the NFC West.
NEW YORK JETS -1.5 New England
- Tom Brady has looked quite human this year, making the Patriots look quite beatable. The Jets have also done little to impress me, but still have found ways to get it done to this point. Just looking at the match-up makes me want to pick the Jets but I have too hard a time seeing the Patriots losing three straight. Somehow Brady gets it done keeping the Patriots atop the division for at least another week.
Monday Nov. 7
GREEN BAY -13.5 Minnesota
- Aaron Rodgers is unbelievable. I could go into stats, but really if you’ve seen any football then you know. What is scary if you’re a Packer fan though is their defense. Last week they had two pick sixes and Rodgers threw for four touchdowns but it was still a seven point game. Minnesota isn’t enough of a threat this week but eventually someone like the Lions will end perfection if the defense doesn’t step it up.